The record
The model, and everything it cannot do
A publication that computes a number about a real company owes the reader the arithmetic. This is it: what is weighed, what happens when a fact is missing, what the resulting order looks like, and the four things this model is not able to see.
Who gets filed
The index files every book on the Gaming Commission register, including the ones we would not use. Filing is the job.
Most publications in this market shorten their table, and a shortened table with a stated reason is a strong thing: it tells a reader exactly what the publication values. This one goes the other way for a reason that is just as deliberate. An index that dropped the books it did not rate would stop being usable for the thing an index is for, which is looking a name up and finding out what is known about it.
So the register decides the contents and nothing else does. A book that pays no commission is filed. A book whose terms reserve the right to cut a winner’s stakes is filed, with the clause described. A book that could barely be read from outside the country is filed, with most of its cells saying so.
The five criteria
- Getting paid · 28%
- The withdrawal time the operator or a published report states, banded against a market that runs from two minutes to three hours.
- The casino side · 20%
- A counted lobby. Uncounted scores nothing either way; a book verified to run no casino scores zero.
- What the offer is worth · 20%
- The welcome offer discounted by the playthrough that stands between it and a withdrawal, plus whether anyone looked at all.
- Standing on the register · 18%
- Entries on the Gaming Commission register, how many, and whether a number is published anywhere.
- Reaching a human · 14%
- Chat around the clock, a phone line, an email address, weighted in that order.
The weights total 100. Getting paid carries the most because it is the only criterion where failure costs the reader money they already have. The casino side carries as much as the offer does, which is unusual for a market this football-heavy, and the reason is that one crash game is the single casino product here with real search behind it: whether a book carries it is a fact a reader can act on, while an offer is a decision the operator can reverse next week.
What happens when a fact is missing
Nothing. That is the whole rule and it is the most consequential decision in the model. A criterion no fact answers is dropped out of both sides of the average rather than filled with a market average, a neutral value or a zero, and the entry then says what share of the model could actually be scored.
The alternative was tried in this market and it did real damage. Filling a missing cash out time with a default scored every book as though somebody had timed a two-day withdrawal. Filling an uncounted casino with a plausible catalogue size handed the games criterion to whichever operator happened to be countable from Europe. Both defaults look harmless in code and both silently ordered published tables about named companies.
Renormalising has a cost of its own and it is worth naming: a book we know four things about cannot be dragged down by the fifth, so thin records float. That is why every entry prints its coverage, and why three of the thirteen filed entries can be scored on all five criteria while the rest sit at 80% of the model. Two scores computed over different amounts of evidence are not the same kind of number, and the coverage figure is how a reader tells.
The same entries in score order
Published rather than hidden. The index is alphabetical because that is the order a reference is used in, but refusing to show the arithmetic’s own output would be hiding a working of ours, and this page exists to show workings.
- 1 MSport 8.0 80% of the model
- 2 Wiwi Casino 7.7 80% of the model
- 3 Betwinner 7.3 80% of the model
- 4 Soccabet 7.2 80% of the model
- 5 SportyBet 6.8 80% of the model
- 6 betPawa 6.6 80% of the model
- 7 1xBet 6.6 80% of the model
- 8 22Bet 6.3 80% of the model
- 9 Betway 6.0 80% of the model
- 10 BetFox 5.2 100% of the model
- 11 Bangbet 5.0 80% of the model
- 12 Melbet 4.6 100% of the model
- 13 Premier Bet 2.9 100% of the model
The spread runs from 8.0 to 2.9 across thirteen books, which is narrower than it looks: the criterion doing most of the separating is whether an operator publishes anything at all about paying people, and on this register that varies far more than the answers themselves do.
Four things this model cannot see
Whether anybody actually gets paid. Nobody working on this publication has deposited, staked or withdrawn a cedi at any of these books. Every payout figure in the fact base is a claim somebody published, and four of them were chosen by whoever compiled the record rather than read from a source at all. The entries say which.
Complaints. There is no dispute file behind this domain. Inventing volumes and publishing them against named companies is the one thing this project ruled out, so the criterion that would have carried them is built instead from things that can be pointed at: how fair the published terms are, how long a company has been answerable to a regulator, and whether there is a way to reach a human.
What a bookmaker does as opposed to what it drafts. The winner terms thread is a reading of documents. A book whose terms name winners has built the machinery for cutting them, which is worth knowing before an account is opened; whether it uses that machinery is a separate question this index cannot answer.
Most of the casino side. One of thirteen lobbies could be counted. The rest render only inside Ghana, so a criterion worth 20 per cent of the model is unanswerable for most of this register, and it is left unanswered.
Where the rest of the method lives
- The register
- What the Gaming Commission publishes, what it does not, and why every permit number on this domain is second-hand.
- Shelf life
- How long each of the 16 fields keeps before it needs reading again, and which of them this publication expects to rot first.
- What we will not file
- 110 figures in circulation about these books that the record refuses, and the six ways a wrong number gets into this market.
Questions this shelf gets asked
- Why publish a score at all if the index is alphabetical?
- Because a reader comparing two books needs a summary that is not a sentence of prose, and because computing one forces the questions to be answered consistently. What the score must not do is decide what a reader sees first, which is why it lives inside the entry and the order above is on a method page rather than on the index.
- Can an operator pay to move up?
- No, and the structure is what makes that true rather than a promise. The index is ordered by the alphabet, so there is nothing to move up. The score is computed from 13 records by one function with published weights, and a commercial arrangement is not one of its inputs.
- Why do most entries score on four criteria rather than five?
- The casino criterion is unanswerable for most of this register, because most lobbies cannot be counted from outside Ghana. Rather than scoring an uncountable lobby as though it were empty, the model drops the criterion for that book and the entry says the score covers a smaller share of the model.
- Has anyone here actually used these bookmakers?
- No, and no page on this domain implies otherwise. Every cash out figure is what an operator or a third party published. When somebody does file a timed withdrawal, it will be carried as a separate field with its own date, and it will not be merged into the published claims.